Is it the myth, or is it the math? crazy abounds IMO !

I think REALITY rules. I have seen a lot of flights of fancy, and a lot of fancy math, and yet The Opposition Forces generally manage to mount spoiling attacks when the PM numbers look attractive. Now quite like the legendary pirates of the markets, the market makers will take their stocks down to whatever level they are using to hunt stops to run, and then bring them back to close pretty much where they opened, The Opposition Forces are able to do about the same thing. So for either the GOLD MINERS or the GOLD METALS, it seems that the Myth or Math must bow to the REALITY of watching where reality takes the MINERS and METALS to their nadair LOWS, and either note it for future use or enter there. Certainly I have felt like I have been double teamed by a pair of NFL Tackles by using logic, rather than Reality Observation. For your info, if you like seeing likely reversal spots/lever points, watch ADX, and VORTEX. So, sadly for me, I do wish I’d have observed them better, as the market fell away from my acquisition points.. Depending on my expertise wth graphics here, I’ll show them. To assure you get the info, I will also link them. Good Luck.

Now according to Marc Chaiken who I see as an honest technician draws his Stop Loss point for Long Term Trades at 30%. So now, looking at the cyclic fluctuation, you can see that a 30% Stop Loss, reduced again by 30% gives you a value of 49 out of 100. Not coincidently in my book, we see NEM declining by half (49%) before it reverses. SIL demonstrates the same move, as does HBM. Is it all conincidence, my feelings ar no, so as we look at an entry price. Now admittedly this has been a contrived market, but you can see, in this manipulated market, THEY coulld drive it that far, and so YOU could buy it at those levels

Here is NEM

Here is SLV

Here is HBM

None of this stuff is foolproof, more in the area of hints and clues for you to use, maybe.




The stars might lie but the numbers never do.

If you were old enough to be trading precious metals at the turn of 2000,

you may have been on KITCO. If you were on KITCO up to 2112, you would have witnessed a lot of days where the Gold price moved $U$ 100 or more in a

given day. Feb/24/2022 we came close, with U$ 90 in a day.

Here are some pricing numbers you may see again. CURRENT $ 1888

USING RAIF REGRESSION, the top here may beU$ 2050,a long shot.

USING 7% RANGE LIKE THE SPX, my likely top here would be U$ 2030.




U$ 1888


TOP $ 2050, 7%RANGE $ 2030, $ 2,000,




Here are a few that offer what I think profit over the next 3-6 mo.s

NOVA-COPPER (TMQ / Trilogy Metals). Double shot in my opinion, in copper and zinc. The road to the Upper Kobuk copper deposit has been a development project pre-2016, and the decision, approved.

This may account for the volatile moves for the last 5 yrs. You can see from the home ebsite:, that Trilogy contains deposits containing mineral amounts seldom seen in good jurisdictions like Alaska.

I think longer holdings will be profitable, but given the shortage mentality and scare in place, capital gains may be shorter term than anyone expects.

It will be 210 miles of gravel road thru unprocessed land from Wiseman on

the Dalton Hiway to the Ambler River at Ambler. What it will be worth to future generations will be unknown for quite a while but not less than access now.

Seems to me that programmed buying under the recent US$ 3.00 highhs has the potential for a double, over 12-24 months in a copper shortage.

Questions ? I’d love to chat.


Looking back

Over time, we lose track of “What happened….?”  Before that truck hit our precious metals investments.  As far back as the 1950s, Secretary of Agriculture, Ezra Benson told us he would crush our speculation in Silver.  Remember?  I do.  No change up to the turn of the century.  A dominating imperial empire.  This empire would keep its illicit fiat profits to itself  as long as it could suppress profits for anyone else and expand its profits from war.  Surprise, surprise, Greece, Rome and Britain.


  So now what is different?  We now can track cycles . !! Matters NOT if we do not exploit them. So when the GDX price popped from the low of $12.50 to the breakout of 13 (we waited for that !!).  GDX subsequently ran to $45 US, a triple, almost a QUAD !!  SELL @ 42-45..   Now that we have a reverse, that lets you buy in the 30’s .  Just some, not whole hog, that is for later.  You have to start with  small bits.  How far it may go or last, we can guess but do not know. But, we  do  know it is trending upwards.

It’s February

 Short Answer Please ! We are here to make money because you do.  You don’t make money, then we don’t make money.   We find the Short-Answers aided by thirty-plus years of technical analysis experience.  That helps us provide you with  Short-Answer-System©, with analysis and probability, for profit.  Truth and objectivity are our main tools.   We do it with Short-Answer-System©.

        Failing to satisfy you, your monthly subscription refunded ASAP, no questions.  Our monthly DGS Letter, updates and bulletins for buys and sells when they happen, and our Good-Standing-Lists for less than you spend on coffee a month, price locked.  Free e-mail reviews of relevant stocks on request.

Honest and real prices for Gold and Silver you can buy now, not paper prices.

US AGE Gold Eagles SOLD on Ebay averaging USD$ 2100-2150 shipping $25 for the most recent 10 sales. 

US ASE Silver Eagles SOLD on Ebay, averaging USD$ 35, plus average $5-10 for shipping, most recent 20 sales on Ebay and dealers. 

Using most recent dealer bid prices, I figure the Gold Silver Ratio at about 61.

Go here  to subscribe, $24.95.  Give it a good “test drive” and if you’ve made your money, please renew, $49.95 monthly to repeat the profit process

        What’s up lately ?  Sibayne Gold SBSW – buy Oct 2019 @ $5

                 Doubled in four months.                sold Jan 2020@ $10, now $15

                Teucrium Sugar Fund   CANE        buy May 2020 @ $5.18, now $7.17

                ORLA Mining               OLA.To     buy May 2019 C$ 1.70

                  Nice move                                 sell  Aug 2020     $ 7.00

                Pure Gold Mining PGM.V      buy Apr 2020@ C$1.00

                Good move, good outfit        sell Sep 2020      $ 2.60

                Great Bear Mining        GBR.V     buy Sep 2018 @C$ 1.88 now $15.03


                Rupert Resources         RUP.V     buy May 2020 @C$ 1.26

                 good Scandinavian miner             sell Oct 2020 @ 5.50

        Those were some of my good ones.  Here is one, killing me but worth the hold to me, BTU Metals Corp.        BTU.V  buy Apr 2020 @ C$ 0.16

                                                                  hold @ $ 0.14

        I know you cant win them all, at least not right away.  Humans like me err.

 Now what is on the horizon for investors like ourselves?

I expect accidents like the Fed blowing up on repo levels as in Sept 2019.  For me the only valuation levels that can be made sense of will be for Gold, Silver and other Precious Metals producers.  Explorers and developers will fluctuate a lot.

My recommendations will be as I add however slowly and carefully to my Good-Standing List.  You probably don’t want to miss the new recommendations, and transactions from the List.  Its all about Short-Answer-System©. Don’t miss it !

     If this makes sense , please subscribe at

  Our free content and emergency updates will always be on our blog.  You won’t want to miss out  our recommendations in your subscription on SubStack.

Information contained herein is for educational and informational purposes only.  Investors are responsible to execute their own due diligence investigations to protect their capital.  Publisher or associates may have positions in these stocks as well.           

CopyRight Denaliguide, DGS Publications, 2021-2022



        Shared Common Conventions #1

        This is your basic README file for STRATEGY and TACTICS for PM’s and PM stocks.  An orientation if you will.

        My first basic rule, #1 for me, is SIMPLICITY.   Simplicity in the approach to the trade, and simplicity of the trade itself.  I only use long positions.  Buying them to get in them, and selling them to exit the trade.  Nothing to screw up.

Has worked fantastically for me.  The one variation you may see, is where I buy a heavily dividended stock, and select a dividend reinvestment plan.  Old fashioned I might be, but I like getting paid while my money is working, not just for capital gains.  That is one slightly different category.

        My job as the Editor and Publisher of STRATEGY and TACTICS is to execute

Due Diligence in selecting a stock with strong probabilities of an good return on your investment.  Once I can tell a company is not in imminent danger of becoming insolvent in the time we are considering a position in its stock, my fundamental Due Diligence is resolved.

        In twenty (20) years of working with Stock Charts, and other services, I have identified six (6) Clusters of individual measures (indicators?), avoiding measuring the same data (co-linearity) redundantly.  These measures, in the clusters enable certain probabilities to be formed about the stock under consideration.   Different stocks respond positively to different clusters.  Those stocks that are unresponsive, get dropped from consideration.

        So far I have written a lot of words.   Lets get to what they mean :

   The stocks I pick, when I pick them, if acquired in a timely manner have a

 more than even chance of making you money.   Here is where it gets serious:

If you don’t like my work for any reason, and you ask, I refund your monthly subscription fee, no questions asked.

        We offer a stress-free, hassle free, environment for you to turn my 30+ years of technical analysis, and experience in the PM sector, into a way to profit.

It’s a risk-free way to see if you can use our methods for your profit.   You don’t profit, we lose you and don’t make money.  Again, very simple.

        The chart below shows what we are up against, not being the 1%.


Jan 27, 2021

Dreams do come true, so to nightmares, for GameStop GME shorts.

What? From $12 to $365, and it ain’t over yet ??  OH MY.

Lets go with something more pedestrian and mundane, my last trade

in the retirement accounts.  After having soul-searched for a suitable

vehicle for low intensity investment, I picked a Canadian Chemical Co,

Chemtrade Logistics, CHE/UN.To, which has tonnes and tonnes of debt securities, averaging close to a half million common shares a day.  All was well and calm until the common went vertical, which of course cannot last, and I exited the Common Stock with a 25% profit in 6 mo, plus the dividends, which satisfied me, quite well.   I simply cannot abide a stock going straight up, because I know what happens when it exhausts itself.  While GGN was my next target, I had back-ups aboard in case my US Funds were  transferred in time.  Both my primary and secondary targets had forward div rates in excess of 8%, so I ended up with my first backup, a Canadian Fund specializing in regional debt.  Lets see how that works out.

Lets see, Nanci (crazy nan) bought about a million dollars worth of TSLA and APPL LEAPS in December, expiring about March of 2022.  Seems a wonderful coincidence that the “accidental” Junta leader Biden declares that the entire USA

Fleet would be ELECTRIC on the next cycle.  Now that wasn’t bad for the market, was it ?

Well out of the political circle and back into mining stocks, seems this half of the GOOD-STANDING List is standing up pretty good:

 2nd Half Good Standing List, and I included Dixie Gold in there as it is holding

its position.  The first half of the GOOD-STANDING LIST: 

1ST HALF GOOD STANDING LIST,  is a bit more mixed.

  Subscribers will get an additional copy with recommendations.  Don t miss out, sign up at  SUBSTACK readers will receive an a common conventions and orientation report as well for all.  Below is a tidbit.

Not at a 52 week low for price but yes for CHAIKEN MONEY FLOW, MAX.To is holding up.

has interesting possibilities plus in a region of support. Read it yourself.  Find me at:

Information contained herein is for educational and informational purposes only.  Investors are       responsible to execute their own due diligence investigations to protect their capital.  Publisher or associates may have positions in these stocks as well. CopyRight Denaliguide, DGS Publications, 2021-2022